Signs of Google Caffeine Update from Early January
March 3rd, 2010Matt McGee wrote in Search Engine Land recently that the much-anticipated Google Caffeine Update, originally tipped for rollout “after the holidays” by Google’s Matt Cutts, has been pushed back several months. My own observations of sites I manage suggest this may not be the case, and that Google, as usual, may be obfuscating the real story.
For those not in the loop, Google’s Caffeine update of their search index or indices is a major change in the way they “search and index” the web. While its implications, particularly on organic search rankings for millions of sites, will not be fully known until it does roll out completely, we do know that it’s going to be a big change.
Like many other internet marketers, I was checking my analytics very closely just after the holidays for signs of the Caffeine update. Contrary to what Matt McGee learned from Google, it’s my observation that major changes in search results are already occurring, all in a strikingly similar pattern, based on what has happened to three totally unrelated sites that I manage.
Beginning with a remarkable spike in Google traffic on the weekend of January 2-3, all three sites have received major increases in traffic, due not, as far as I can see, to changes in rankings, but to a major increase in the raw number of keywords delivering organic traffic, and that traffic has remained higher ever since (though with some fluctuating).
The three sites share no common marketing tactics, no similar “optimizing”. They are in unrelated, diverse niches.
Site A. Average monthly traffic about 125,000.
Site B. Average monthly traffic about 1,500.
Site C. Average monthly traffic about 500.
Around January 3, almost as if someone had fired a starting pistol, traffic from Google for all three sites started to rise.
Here are the numbers:
| Site | Monthly Traffic | Change in Google Visits Jan. vs. Dec. | Change in Keywords Driving Traffic |
| A | 125,000 | + 34% | + 24% |
| B | 1,500 | + 46% | + 35% |
| C | 500 | + 52% | + 46% |
Six factors lead me to think this is a result of the Google Caffeine update. If I’m correct, the impact of Caffeine could be huge.
- The three sites are unrelated
- The pattern of increased keywords leading to increased visitors is consistent across all three sites
- All three sites began to spike within the same 24 hour period
- All three sites, prior to this event, experienced steady traffic patterns, with no unusual spikes
- All three sites have remained at or near these levels ever since
- No SEO or marketing was done on any of the sites at the time to account for the spikes
To date, these vastly-improved traffic numbers have remained high or even improved.
February versus January organic Google traffic shows:
- Site A – 3%
- Site B + 16%
- Site C + 9%
Maybe it’s not Google Caffeine. Maybe it’s something else. Maybe I just got lucky.
But I don’t think so. The patterns is too clear, especially the start date. I believe this is Google Caffeine. And, as I wrote in an earlier post about Google Caffeine, I think the impact is going to be enormous.

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